Two things have undoubtedly been true this summer: The superstars are shining, and the Golden Boot odds seem to be changing every minute.
Prior to Portugal’s match against Uzbekistan on Tuesday, Cristiano Ronaldo appeared to be the only global superstar yet to make a significant impact at the tournament.
But that all changed in a flash.
Ronaldo scored two goals in a 5-0 win, becoming the second-oldest player to score in a World Cup and just the second 40-year-old to do so. He also became the oldest player to record a brace in a World Cup match and is now Portugal’s all-time leader in World Cup goals (10).
Ronaldo jumped up the oddsboard from +5500 to +1800 after his brace. He now sits at +2500.
Then, on Wednesday, Brazil’s superstar Vini Jr. added to his total, scoring twice in a 3-0 win over Scotland.
Sheesh.
Let’s dive into the updated odds as of June 24.
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Golden Boot Winner 2026
Lionel Messi: +170 (bet $10 to win $27 total)
Kylian Mbappé: +225 (bet $10 to win $32.50 total)
Vinícius Júnior: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)
Erling Haaland: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Harry Kane: +850 (bet $10 to win $95 total)
Matheus Cunha: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)
Ismael Saibari: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)
Mikel Oyarzabal: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Deniz Undav: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Cristiano Ronaldo: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)
Kai Havertz: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Lamine Yamal: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Cody Gakpo: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Folarin Balogun: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Jonathan David: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Johan Manzambi: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Favorite(s): Recognize those two names atop the board? In Argentina’s opener against Algeria, with his first career World Cup hat trick, Lionel Messi tied Miroslav Klose for the most goals in men’s World Cup history with 16, while also setting the record as the oldest player (38) to record a hat trick, passing Ronaldo. Then, in Argentina’s second game against Austria, Messi scored late in the first half to pass Klose for the record, and scored once more late in the contest to put some space between himself and Klose. That same day, Kylian Mbappé responded with two goals of his own. The French superstar now has 16 career World Cup goals, tying Klose for the second-most in men’s World Cup history. And if that wasn’t enough, later on Tuesday, Haaland added two more goals of his own in Norway’s 3-2 win over Senegal to tighten the race even more.
The Latest: Messi now has the most goals this tournament with five, and Mbappé, Haaland and Vini Jr. are tied for second with four. Vini was at +3300 to win the award prior to Wednesday’s match, but he’s moved all the way to the +700 third choice. Ronaldo is among several who have two goals. Mbappé entered the tournament as the Golden Boot favorite.